Precision represents how closely defined a numerical estimate is. A precise estimate has a narrow confidence interval. Precision is influenced by prevalence, sample size and surveillance system quality.
| Surveillance design step | Advice for improvement of PRECISION |
1 | Surveillance system | |
1.1 | Hazard | |
1.2 | Surv. Objective | |
1.3 | Geographical area covered | |
1.4 | Susceptible species | |
1.5 | Risk characteristics | |
2 | Components overview | |
3 | Target population | |
3.1 | Target species | |
3.2 | Target sector | |
3.3 | Sectors missed | |
3.4 | Geographical area covered | |
3.5 | Target criteria | |
3.6 | Percentage covered | |
4 | Disease suspicion | |
4.1 | Definition | |
4.2 | Obligations | |
4.3 | Notification procedures | |
4.4 | Actions upon suspicions | |
4.5 | Actions upon confirmation | |
5 | Enhancements | |
6 | Testing protocol | Consider choosing a test with low uncertainty in sensitivity and specificity to improve precision. |
6.1 | Type of test to be carried out | |
6.2 | Type of sample to be collected | |
6.3 | Pooling | |
6.4 | Screening/first test | |
6.5 | Confirmatory/ second test | |
6.6 | Further details | |
7 | Study design | Carefully determine the sample size requirements to achieve adequate precision. A study that is insufficiently precise may be a waste of time and money. A study that collects too much data is wasteful. |
7.1 | Point of sample collection | |
7.2 | Selection of units | |
7.3 | Target unit | |
7.4 | Sampling unit | |
7.5 | Sampling design | |
7.6 | Number of units in the target population | |
7.7 | Sensitivity of the testing protocol | |
7.8 | Specificity of the testing protocol | |
8 | Sampling strategy | |
8.1 | Sampling at the primary sampling unit (PSU) level: | |
8.2 | Sampling at the secondary sampling unit (SSU) level: | |
8.3 | Selection criteria WITHIN the population | |
8.4 | Risk-based allocation | |
8.5 | Sample size calculation | |
8.6 | Sample allocation at the primary level | |
8.7 | Sample allocation at the Secondary level | |
8.8 | Sample collection timeline | |
9 | Data Generation/ Sampling collection process | |
9.1 | WHO will collect the samples? | |
9.2 | HOW will samples be collected? | |
9.3 | WHEN/HOW OFTEN will samples be collected? | More information will improve the precision. |
9.4 | Training | |
9.5 | Follow-up | Lack of follow up may lead to not getting the anticipated sample size, which may influence precision. |
10 | Transfer means | |
10.1 | HOW will samples be transferred? | |
10.2 | WHEN/HOW OFTEN will samples be collected? | |
10.3 | Training | |
11 | Data Translation/ sample analyses process | |
11.1 | WHO will perform the analyses? | |
11.2 | HOW will samples be analysed | |
11.3 | WHEN/HOW OFTEN will samples be collected? | |
11.4 | Expected LOAD | |
11.5 | Training | |
11.6 | Follow-up | |
12 | Epidemiological analyses | |
12.1 | Are there any epidemiological DATA that need to be collected? | |
12.2 | WHO will perform the analyses? | |
12.3 | HOW will epidemiological analyses be performed? | |
12.4 | WHEN/HOW OFTEN? | |
12.5 | Training | |
12.6 | Data management needs | |
12.7 | Software needs | |
13 | Dissemination of results | |
13.1 | WHO will disseminate the results? | |
13.2 | WHO is the TARGET of dissemination? | |
13.3 | HOW will results be disseminated? | |
13.4 | WHEN/HOW OFTEN? | |
14 | Surveillance review | |
14.1 | Who | |
14.2 | When | |
14.3 | How often | |
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